I have a specific situation I want to look at today, and then I'll go back to some session review/hand review tomorrow.
I want to look at when you get check raised and hold a value hand where if you get it in on the flop you won't be doing that well, but if you wait till the turn there are a lot of bad cards. I saved a few of these but they're all on my old desktop so I'll try and give an example.
Say 100bb deep at 5/10. We have AA, raise to $30 and get called, and the flop comes QJ9hh. We c-bet $45 and our opponent check raises to $145.
This is a spot where I'm actually not sure of the best play. Assume our opponent is a reg that's not crazy aggro but not a tight player either (somewhat normal). All two pairs and straights are in our opponent's range (as well as 99), and I doubt they're raising KQ in this spot. They can have some flush draws, but they're going to be strong ones with a pair or straight draw usually.
If we 3-bet and get it in it seems like we'll get it in against a really strong range and it'll possibly be a bad play by us. However, if we call what's the plan? Are we only stacking off on any 2-7 or A? What if it's a heart?
The problem I have as well is if it comes a T and he bets, well this reduces his value range as he probably won't bet two pairs now and might not bet sets. So it seems like some of the terrible cards will allow him to bluff us off the best hand.
This is a spot where I'm just confused. It seems like it's a decent spot for us with AA, but I'm actually unsure of how to play it.
I'm far more inclined to get that in on the flop HU than in 6max. People will play flush draws aggressive (esp with a T) and pair + gutters etc and even the oesd. They shouldn't have sets on that board texture and you have outs agaisnt two pair. Just sucks when he has a straight. It's a tough spot, one of the toughest to play imo. I'm not sure what the correct answer tbh.
ReplyDeleteMy standard is always to call, then lead strongly any turn I consider a blank, CF others. So any 9, 7 or below, must be non heart. There's tons more of those than scary cards, and yes I guess you get owned sometimes.
ReplyDelete